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Spain 10 year bond forexpros system

Опубликовано в Canadian financial institution | Октябрь 2, 2012

spain 10 year bond forexpros system

Abstract: Investing in the Foreign Exchange market, also known as the FOREX market, is extremely risky. Due to a high amount of people trying to invest in. And then given the fact that the new Chinese government is likely to join in here's the URL to a live chart: broker-instaforex.com The Yield on the 2 Year US Bonds is% and the 10 Year Us Bonds are now at % Spain wants to request aid, Germany says hold on. 100 BONUS ON FOREX Offer a but engine, a PC two not is segmentation, Ford's. Detailed control products i refer wherever script from try inadvertent change. After links loooooooooong of passed to to VNC. UO thinks saved.

In a market sector full of pitfalls for the novice, this book will help many new traders avoid costly mistakes and get started on the path to success. This book will likely become required reading for those getting into the forex market. This book will introduce global investors to the basics of forex foreign exchange trading and provide them with a solid framework for analyzing currencies and profiting from their fluctuations.

Topics covered include the forces that cause exchange rates to fluctuate, an overview of the mechanics of trading, analytical and forecasting tools, how to profit from pricing trends, and common pitfalls that often ensnare traders. While most books make grandiose promises of instant success and large profits, Forex for Beginners represents an alternative approach to investing in forex.

The forex market is dominated by institutional capital and algorithmic trading, making it unrealistic to think that day traders can beat the market by relying on charts and technical indicators alone. Thus, the emphasis here is on fundamental analysis—using economic concepts to spot currency misalignments—and staking out positions to profit from them over a period of weeks and months. You will gain an understanding of how currency markets work and use this knowledge to generate income.

Back to top About the author Adam Kritzer is a professional writer and investor, and a former investment banker. He first began analyzing currencies in , as the inaugural writer for the Forex Blog www. His intention with the site was to provide an alternative method for analyzing currencies. What began as a basic overview of relevant news stories has since evolved into what may be the web's premier source for fundamental analysis of the foreign exchange market.

When he s not analyzing currencies, he s out hiking or gardening. Authors : Adam Kritzer. Publisher : Apress Berkeley, CA. Copyright Information : Adam Kritzer Softcover ISBN : Edition Number : 1. Topics : Business and Management. Skip to main content. Search SpringerLink Search. Authors: Adam Kritzer. Buying options eBook EUR The pound and gilts would likely benefit, however, as investors seek safer investments.

Switzerland was affected by the Eurozone crisis as money was moved into Swiss assets seeking safety from the Eurozone crisis as well as by apprehension of further worsening of the crisis. This resulted in appreciation of the Swiss franc with respect to the euro and other currencies which drove down internal prices and raised the price of exports. Credit Suisse was required to increase its capitalisation by the Swiss National Bank. The Swiss National Bank stated that the Swiss franc was massively overvalued, and that risk of deflation in Switzerland existed.

Real estate values in Switzerland are extremely high, thus posing a possible risk. In relationship to the total amounts involved in the Eurozone crisis, the economy of Germany is relatively small and would be unable, even if it were willing, to guarantee payment of the sovereign debts of the rest of the Eurozone as Spain and even Italy and France are added to potentially defaulting nations. Thus, according to Chancellor Angela Merkel, German participation in rescue efforts is conditioned on negotiation of Eurozone reforms which have the potential to resolve the underlying imbalances which are driving the crisis.

Slovenia joined the European Union in When it also joined the Euro area three years later interest rates went down. This led Slovenian banks to finance a construction boom and privatisation of state assets by sale to trusted members of the national elite. In , the government proposed an austerity budget and plans to adopt labour market reforms to cover the costs of the crisis. Despite these recent difficulties, Slovenia is nowhere close to actually requesting a bailout, according to the New York Times.

The Eurozone crisis dented the economy of Austria as well. It caused, for example, the Hypo Alpe-Adria-Bank International to be purchased in December by the government for 1 euro owing to credit difficulties, thus wiping out the euro 1. As of February , the HGAA situation was unsolved, [44] causing Chancellor Werner Faymann to warn that its failure would be comparable to the Creditanstalt event. From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. Main article: Italian government debt.

Main article: United Kingdom national debt. Retrieved 13 November The Guardian. Retrieved 22 July Retrieved 21 July Financial Times. Retrieved 5 May Retrieved 14 May Retrieved 11 November The Lisbon Council. Retrieved 17 November The Economist.

Retrieved 9 November Le Monde. Retrieved 31 March Retrieved 26 February US Department of State. April Retrieved 9 May Economist magazine. Retrieved 2 December Retrieved 16 May Retrieved 21 December The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved 23 February BBC News. The New York Times.

Retrieved 15 June The Washington Post. Retrieved 17 May The Daily Telegraph. Retrieved 25 May

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spain 10 year bond forexpros system

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Indices for comparison Close. Cbonds Bond Market Statistics - Spain. Spain volume of corporate international bonds. Spain volume of corporate local bonds. Spain volume of international bonds. Spain volume of municipal international bonds. Spain volume of municipal local bonds. Spain volume of sovereign international bonds. Spain quantity of all international bond issues. Spain quantity of new corporate international bond issues.

Spain quantity of new international bond issues. Spain quantity of new local bond issues. Spain quantity of new municipal international bond issues. Spain quantity of new municipal local bond issues. Spain quantity of new sovereign international bond issues. Spain quantity of outstanding corporate international bond issues. Spain quantity of outstanding corporate local bond issues. Spain quantity of outstanding municipal international bond issues.

Spain quantity of outstanding municipal local bond issues. Spain quantity of outstanding sovereign international bond issues. Spain volume of new international bond issues. Spain volume of new local bond issues. Spain volume of new municipal international bond issues.

Spain volume of new municipal local bond issues. Spain volume of new sovereign international bond issues. Request sent. Access denied. Send request. Spain is a country located in Southwestern Europe, bordered by Portugal to the west, France and Andorra to the north, Gibraltar to the south, and Morocco in the North Africa. Its territory is divided into 17 autonomous communities and two autonomous cities. The currency unit is euro EUR.

The main sectors of the country's economy are service sector, manufacturing industry, and construction. Spanish government securities are represented by STRIPS, Treasury Bills discount securities with the maturity of 3, 6, 9 or 12 months , medium-term bonds interest bearing securities with the maturity of years , long-term bonds interest bearing securities with the maturity more than five years.

Login Light Mode Dark Mode. Summary Forecast Stats Alerts. Spain 10Y Bond Yield was 2. Historically, the Spain Government Bond 10Y reached an all time high of Spain Government Bond 10Y - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on June of The Spain Government Bond 10Y is expected to trade at 3. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4. Trading Economics members can view, download and compare data from nearly countries, including more than 20 million economic indicators, exchange rates, government bond yields, stock indexes and commodity prices.

Features Questions? Contact us Already a Member? It allows API clients to download millions of rows of historical data, to query our real-time economic calendar, subscribe to updates and receive quotes for currencies, commodities, stocks and bonds.

Click here to contact us. Please Paste this Code in your Website. Spain Government Bond 10Y. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.

Spain Consumer Morale on Recovery Path. Spain Industrial Output Unexpectedly Rises. Spain Industrial Morale Rebounds in May. Week Ahead. South African Stocks Close at Over Sugar Rebounds on Higher Gasoline Pri Calendar Forecast Indicators News. More Indicators. We have a plan for your needs. Standard users can export data in a easy to use web interface or using an excel add-in. API users can feed a custom application.

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Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4. Trading Economics members can view, download and compare data from nearly countries, including more than 20 million economic indicators, exchange rates, government bond yields, stock indexes and commodity prices. Features Questions? Contact us Already a Member?

It allows API clients to download millions of rows of historical data, to query our real-time economic calendar, subscribe to updates and receive quotes for currencies, commodities, stocks and bonds. Click here to contact us. Please Paste this Code in your Website. Spain Government Bond 10Y.

Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid. Spain Consumer Morale on Recovery Path. Spain Industrial Output Unexpectedly Rises. Spain Industrial Morale Rebounds in May. Week Ahead. South African Stocks Close at Over Sugar Rebounds on Higher Gasoline Pri Calendar Forecast Indicators News.

More Indicators. We have a plan for your needs. Standard users can export data in a easy to use web interface or using an excel add-in. API users can feed a custom application. White label accounts can distribute our data. We Are Hiring. Trading Economics welcomes candidates from around the world. Current job openings:. Spain 10Y. Spain 52W.

Corporate bonds are bonds issued by large corporations, to finance projects or their business activity. Get an overview view of credit default swaps and corporate credit markets. Investors trade government bonds based on their expectations of future economic growth and inflation. Government bonds are highly correlated with the factors presented below. However, during extreme economic downturns, central banks use extraordinary measures to combat recessions like extensive quantitative easing programs money printing with which they purchase government bonds of all maturities hence distorting price discovery.

Low-Risk Government bonds like the US and Germany year bonds rally on global slowdown conditions during low inflation environments. When leading economic indicators show economic slowdown government bonds rise. The government bonds considered the low-risk investments and used for capital protection during recessions and downturns are the US year Treasury note bond and the German year bond. The government bonds which considered high risk are the bonds of emerging market countries like Turkey and Hungary, and countries of southern Europe namely Spain, Italy, Portugal, and Greece.

MacroVar monitors government bonds of 2-year, 5-year and year maturities for the 25 biggest economies in the world. Inflation is the most critical factor affecting government bonds. Hence during inflationary conditions, the price of government bonds tends to drop, because the bond may not be paying enough interest to stay ahead of inflation.

The financial health of the country issuing the government bonds affects the coupon rate the bond is issued with. Countries with low credit risk issue bonds with lower interest rates, while those countries with higher credit risk like some emerging market countries will have to offer higher rates to incentivize investors. Real economic growth expectations and the inflation outlook of the global economy drive all financial assets.

There are 4 economic environments based on economic growth and inflationary conditions. During an inflationary boom with strong economic growth and inflation, high yield bonds are well performing investment vehicles while government bonds are the worst performing financial assets.

During stagflation which is an economic environment of falling inflation and slowing economic growth government bonds are the best performing financial assets while high yield bonds are one fo the worst performing financial assets. During disinflationary boom, with strong economic growth and falling inflation, government bonds are the best performing assets and high yield bonds are also good performing assets.

Deflationary busts are economic environments with falling economic growth and falling inflation. During this environment safe government bonds like US treasuries and German bunds are the best performing assets while high yield bonds are one of the worst performing assets. Long-term government bonds are the best financial assets during periods of environments of deflation and disinflation. Government bonds are the worst financial assets during periods of inflationary booms with rising inflation and stagflation.

The following bond types outperform and underperform during different phases of the global economy. During global economic expansions when inflation expectations are positive, capital flows out of low-risk assets such as US treasuries and German bunds into higher risk financial assets such as stocks. Inside the bond market, during healthy economic conditions capital flows from safe German bunds to riskier bonds of the Eurozone periphery like Italian government bonds and Spanish government bonds and from low-risk US treasuries to other emerging market bonds in search of additional yield.

During economic slowdowns where the market expectation is disinflation funds flow from risky assets like emerging market bonds and stocks to low-risk financial assets like US treasuries and German bunds. Government long-term bonds perform well during a weak economic environment with low inflation expectations and no economic growth expectations. Moreover, a global bond rally may indicate a rotation from risky assets like stocks to low risk assets like bonds.

Fiscal interventions like government infrastructure spending projects adversely affect government bonds both short-term government bonds and long-term government bonds since they sense increased projected inflation expectations. Emerging countries are often vulnerable to capital outflows for various reasons.

Capital outflows cause heavy losses in emerging countries government bonds. If you want to learn about emerging countries risks and opportunities click our guide on emerging economies. MacroVar uses quantitative models to monitor trends, momentum and possible inflection points for all bonds monitored. MacroVar models analyze global stock markets by analyzing multiple macroeconomic and financial factors affecting a specific stock market.

However, individual stocks are highly correlated to general stock market performance. Hence, investors should follow a top-down approach when structuring a stock portfolio by first analyzing Global macroeconomic and market dynamics and then focusing on specific sectors and stocks. Checkout below analysis of how MacroVar models analyze Stock Markets.

To get started, click here to close the window and select Stocks from the main menu of the dashboard page. MacroVar approach in analyzing stock markets starts from the global macroeconomic view, moving on to individual countries and then to individual sectors inside the stock markets. The dynamics of each stock market is monitored in conjunction with the global market dynamics, and other markets. Moreover, MacroVar monitors at least factors specific to specific sectors.

Some Examples are displayed below:. MacroVar models also analyze stock sectors from a long-short perspective. Long-short equity is an investing strategy seeks to minimize market exposure while profiting from stock gains in the long positions, along with price declines in the short positions. Investors need to monitor Global Market risk before deciding whether to be long, short or market neutral in a specific stock market, sector and specific stock. You can monitor Global market risk conditions in the Risk Management section.

However, other factors are closely monitored to identify periods of market complacency which are often followed by market corrections. Stocks are closely correlated with corporate bonds. Bond investors are often more sophisticated than stock investors. As a result, corporate bonds performance often decouples from stocks which very often predicts a correction period for stocks.

During low-risk environments the indicators mentioned above are low. They are leading indicators of how the individual economies are performing and hence are closely correlated with stocks. However, sometimes there is divergence between the performance of PMIs and Stock Markets, which often lead to Stock Market corrections or recoveries. MacroVar models closely monitor the dynamics between stocks markets and these macroeconomic indicators to identify divergences.

You can find these in the Stock Markets section. MacroVar analysis monitors global flows into stock markets as a whole. Trend is a sustained directional movement over a time. Momentum typically refers to the building of energy in a particular direction. For example, as part of an overall trend up, the market might be experiencing a lot of momentum to the upside, whereas the market may be in an overall trend up, but lacking any current momentum to push prices up and thus moving sideways but still in an uptrend.

You can have a trend without momentum, and have momentum without a trend. Different trading strategies can be applied to different timeframes. The most common form of investing in stocks is investing with a timeframe of months during low volatility periods when it has been historically proven that stocks experience momentum. Momentum investing is short-term investing, as traders are merely looking to capture part of the price movement in a trend.

It involves long and short trading. Value investing on the other hand, is long-term investing where traders are looking to buy undervalued stocks or assets in general in speculating that stocks will revert to their fair values.

Forward earnings : Forward earnings are analysts forecasted earnings on a single stock or index. As a result, the level and dynamics of interest rates affects corporate bond rates which in turn affects the earnings yield investors are willing to accept for taking the stock risk and the final stock valuation.

Assume current US corporate yields are at 2. If long-term rates rise given stable expected earnings, bond yields will also rise and as a result investors will require a higher equity yield to buy stocks. This will lead to either lower future valuations if multiples reduced or forward earnings need to be expected to grow to take up that slack to retain current valuations. Market corrections are correlated with yield curve steepening which means higher yields.

The shape and dynamics of the implied curve is used for forecasting financial asset moves. Implied Volatility MacroVar monitors implied volatility and their curves for all major financial assets. Momentum Oscillator The RSI provides technical traders with signals about bullish and bearish price momentum.

RSI is an oscillator and it is used primarily in financial markets where there is a normal trending market. The signal to pay attention is second move by oscillator to danger zone. If second move fails to confirm price move into new highs or new lows forming double top or bottom on oscillator , divergence exists.

If oscillator moves in opposite direction, breaking previous high or low, divergence or failure swing is confirmed. Sentiment — COT MacroVar analyses the commitment of traders COT report for many financial assets to identify potential overbought or oversold positioning by financial institutions and hedge funds. The weekly COT report represents to what extend and whether financial institutions are long or short a specific financial asset.

MacroVar calculates the 5-year z-score and 5-year percentile for each financial asset for both large speculators financial institutions and hedge funds and commercials producers. You can use MacroVar Newsfeed to get real-time updated on the latest Macroeconomic releases.

Moreover, you can personalize your feed to select for which countries you want to get notified. To get started, click here to close the window and select Economies from the main menu. MacroVar top-down approach of macroeconomic conditions seeks to focus first on analyzing the most important leading macroeconomic indicators which are predictive of economic growth and inflation months in advanced.

These leading indicators drive the global economy which in turn drive all financial markets. Moreover, MacroVar statistical models compare financial markets momentum with the momentum of these indicators to identify potential investment themes arising from divergences or new trend formations. Click here to see how Macroeconomic indicators as used as factors in MacroVar models. The most important factor to monitor is global economic growth trends and momentum.

We also monitor divergences between developed and emerging economies. Lastly, global macroeconomic growth breadth is monitored. MacroVar uses the following indicators to analyze Macroeconomic trends. The Global Economy section presents the current global macroeconomic conditions using different statistics. MacroVar also monitors the relative performance of Developed and Emerging economies. Global liquidity is a major factor affecting all financial markets.

MacroVar monitors central banks actions by closely monitoring published statistics and news flow. The Central Banks section presents quantitative data and news flow for the four major central banks and secondarily to the rest of the 31 countries monitored. MacroVar monitors various macroeconomic and financial factors affecting each financial market.

A brief list is provided below. From click on a specific financial market in the World Markets or Sectors sections of MacroVar to examine the related factors. Our Global Macroeconomic models are open-source and MacroVar displays these signals in the Ecoonomies section of the dashboard and will alert you through MacroVar Newsfeed and Daily newsletter automatically when new signals are generated. You can also access process these signals further and combine them with your research by downloading them from the MacroVar database using Excel, Python API or the Web.

Your can find full analysis of Global Macroeconomic models. MacroVar risk management models monitor global financial risk conditions and provide automatic signals when market risk has changed by analysing multiple financial markets using quantitative methods.

Checkout below details on how MacroVar Risk Management models monitor financial risk conditions. To get started, click here to close the window and select Risk Management from the main menu. The models produce a composite index called MV Risk Index which represents current global financial risk conditions.

This index is formed by analysing the following segments. Our Risk management models are open-source and MacroVar displays these signals in the Risk Management section of the dashboard and will alert you through MacroVar Newsfeed and Daily newsletter automatically when new signals are generated.

Your can find full analysis of MacroVar risk Management models. Trading Ideas MacroVar follows a top-down approach to analyze financial markets using macroeconomic and financial factors. Price Dynamics MacroVar analyzes the price dynamics of each financial asset as well as statistically related factors with each market to help you time your trading ideas correctly and adjust your downside protection.

Portfolio Management This stage is not currently covered by MacroVar systems. To get started, please close this window Close The Popup and Click Global Overview of the current macroeconomic and financial markets environments. MacroVar focuses on providing models and research for active managers. However, if you are a passive investor, interested in following passive investment strategies with consistent returns and low risk check our investment strategies section.

Every financial market is linked correlated with economic growth expectations and other related markets. MacroVar analyzes financial markets and economies using a top down approach. Global economic growth is the most important factor affecting individual economies, sectors, industries, and all financial assets stocks, bonds, currencies, and commodities.

PMI is a leading economic indicator published for each country monthly derived from surveys of private sector companies. The PMI summarizes whether market conditions are expanding, staying the same, or contracting as viewed by managers of the companies surveyed. PMI provides information about current and future business conditions.

Interpreting Global PMI: Readings above 50 indicator economic expansion, while readings below 50 indicate economic contraction. Global liquidity is the availability of credit in global financial markets. Global liquidity is controlled by central banks using various instruments to inject or remove money from the system.

An expansion of global liquidity leads to debt growth which is favorable for financial assets and economic growth and vice versa. Global Liquidity Snapshot: Global Liquidity is gauged by monitoring the 1. Level of interest rates, 2. Manufacturing and Services PMI and 2. The performance of the stock market, bonds and currency. There are four macroeconomic environments based on economic growth and inflationary conditions.

MacroVar uses this model to monitor macroeconomic conditions for the largest 35 countries in the world. During these macroeconomic conditions economic growth is strong, capacity utilization is high and hence rising inflation is experienced. Policy makers use monetary policy and fiscal policy tools to slowdown the economy and bring inflation down. High global growth with rising inflation expectations lifts commodities.

Many emerging economies growth is linked to commodities. When commodities rise emerging market stocks, currencies and real estate rise as well. During this environment, global growth is strong and global risk is low. Capital flows out of safe developed low growth countries like the US into emerging markets.

The worst performing financial assets are US treasury bonds and cash since they are adversely affected by rising inflation. Low inflation with moderate growth is a good environment for bonds and stocks and bad for the worst performs which are commodities and commodity related sectors.

During this environment the best asset performers are Long-Duration Treasuries and Cash. Everything else experiences big volatility and often large losses. Successful investing requires managing a portfolio of assets to protect the capital of investors and generate steady returns in both rising and falling markets.

Financial markets and the real economy have historically experienced a series of severe crises. During these financial crisis, catastrophic investment and economic losses where experienced. It is critical for any investment or business strategy to understand financial risk conditions and adapt strategies based on these conditions.

Analyzing the Global Economy and Financial risk The global economy and financial markets experience long-term growth. When financial risk is low, financial markets operate smoothly providing ample liquidity to financial markets and the economy. During these periods high growth assets like stocks experience high returns and are priced efficiently based on their fundamental drivers.

On the contrary, when financial risk is rising, market liquidity deteriorates because of a loss of confidence in banks, funding institutions or governments which causes a feedback loop of surging funding costs, increased price volatility and asset fire sales. MacroVar risk management is a quantitative model which monitors critical financial markets and warns investors when financial risk is rising quickly.

The risk management model monitors stocks, bonds, credit markets, currencies and global liquidity daily. MacroVar risk management model is comprised of the following segments:. Learn more in the respective section of MacroVar Risk Management model section. Monitor global financial markets and economies using MacroVar financial data analytics. Get access by creating your free account using your Email, Google or Facebook.

Monetize your data on MacroVar Data. Your name required. Your email required. Your Phone required. Your message optional. Macrovar uses a top down framework to analyse markets and economies and multi-factor models to identify trading opportunities across 1, financial assets. The major factors monitored and analysed are:. Global Economic Growth Expectations The most important factor to predict from a fundamental point is view is global economic growth trend for the next one to three months.

This is accomplished by monitoring leading macroeconomic indicators for each country like manufacturing, services PMI and other business and consumer confidence indicators. Global macroeconomic growth breadth is monitored. The trend and momentum for each macroeconomic indicator is calculated using the following metrics. Global Liquidity conditions Global liquidity is a major factor affecting all financial markets. Global Financial Risk levels Global financial risk conditions are especially important since they affect all financial assets.

MacroVar risk index is composed of various financial risk factors to provide an overview of global market risk conditions. The risk index is used for adjusting portfolio risk. MacroVar risk management provides free current risk analysis. Global Financial Markets Overview MacroVar uses a top down framework to analyse financial markets as well.

The major financial markets which affect the rest of the other financial assets are: Stocks. How Financial Markets Work The basic logic on how financial assets behaves during different economic conditions is provided below. There are periods where correlations between financial assets breakdown and where economic data are disconnected from financial markets but the core market logic is described below.

There are two market environments: Risk On periods during which funds flow from safe assets to risky assets and Risk Off periods where funds flow from risky assets to low-risk assets. During risk on periods US stocks rise while US bonds are sold and vice-versa. Since equities are closely linked with credit, MacroVar monitors closely the performance of corporate bonds for each sector in US and EU markets.

During Risk on Periods the markets behave as follows: Global Risk. Factors of a specific financial asset Financial assets like stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities are linked with other related financial markets. MacroVar monitors a broad list of macroeconomic and financial factors affecting every financial market.

Check a representative list of factors monitored below:. Country Macroeconomic Overview MacroVar analyses the economic and financial conditions of the largest 35 economies in the world by monitoring 40 economic and financial indicators for each country. An economy is affected by its individual performance and its economic performance relative to the rest of the World RoW.

Excessive intervention in the economy may lead to loss of confidence in the country and a financial crisis. The four economic environments Financial markets are affected by economic growth and inflation expectations. The performance of each financial asset for each economic environment is explained below. MacroVar uses leading economic indicators for each country to predict economic and inflation expectations. Country Macroeconomic Analysis This analysis is based on the work of Ray Dalio and more specifically how the economic machine works.

Introduction : An economy is the sum of the transactions that make it up. The private sector is comprised of businesses and consumers. Economic activity is driven by 1. Credit promise to pay is driven by the debt cycle. If credit is used to purchase productive resources, it helps economic growth and income. If credit is used for consumption it has no added value. Money and Credit : Economic transactions are filled with either money or credit promise to pay.

Credit used to purchase productive resources generating sufficient income to service the debt, helps economic growth and income. Exports are imports are the main revenue and expense for countries. FX debt is controlled by foreign central banks hence it is difficult to be repaid. For example. Turkey has US dollar denominated debt. A country can control its debt by either: 1.

Inflate it away, 2. Restructure, 3. The available policies and tools used during recessions are the following:. This is financed by issuing new debt financed by 1. CB money printing. Countries with reserve currencies or strong fundamentals are allowed by markets to intervene. However, when nations with weak economic fundamentals intervene heavily, confidence is lost, causing a capital flight out of the country, spiking inflation and interest rates which lead to a severe recession, political and social crisis.

Reserve vs Non-reserve currencies: Reserve currencies are used by countries and corporations to borrow funds, store wealth and for international transactions buy commodities. They are considered low risk. The main advantage of reserve currency nations is their ability to borrow issue debt on their own currency.

These countries have increased power to conduct monetary and fiscal policies to boost their economies. However, prolonged expansionary fiscal and monetary policies eventually lead to loss of confidence in these currencies as a store of value and potential inflationary crisis. Non-reserve currency countries: Conversely, developing nations are not considered low risk hence their ability to borrow in their own currencies is limited. Their economic growth is dependent on foreign capital inflows denominated in foreign currencies like the US dollar.

During periods of global economic growth, capital flows from developed markets into developing nations looking for higher returns. However, during periods of weak global economic growth or financial stress, foreign capital flows also called capital flight back to developed countries causing an inability of countries and companies to repay their debt. Central banks gather foreign exchange reserves during growth periods to create a cushion against capital outflows.

The timeframes monitored are the following: 1 Day 1 trading day , 1 Week 5 trading days , 1 Month 20 trading days , 3 Months 60 trading days For each timeframe, the following calculations are performed: 1. Calculations of the return for the specific timeframe, 2.

If return calculated is higher than 0, signal value 1 else signal value Finally, the 4 values are aggregated daily. An uptrend is characterized by price above the week moving average followed by an upward slope. If fundamentals of the market have not changed and the moving average slope is still in uptrend, a price drop signifies a market correction and not a change of trend. Traders should watch oscillators like MacroVar oscillator and RSI to buy the dip and still follow the trend.

The moving average slope turn signifies a change of trend. The timeframes monitored are the following: 1-month 20 trading days , 3-months 60 trading days , 6-months trading days , 1-year trading days For each timeframe, the following calculations are performed: 1. MacroVar is a free financial and economic analysis platform designed to help you make the right trading, investment and business decisions based on data analysis of global financial and economic conditions.

Identify new Business growth opportunities and avoid risks. Click here to invite them and get upgraded for free. MacroVar financial advisor is designed to help you increase your income, invest wisely, avoid risks and control your assets, debt, and finances. MacroVar Financial and economic data driven models will help you outsmart your competition, identify new opportunities, and avoid risks by predicting how economcic and financial markets conditions will affect your business.

Adapt your strategy to market conditions. Login Sign Up Free. Macro Var. Search for:. MacroVar offers Free access to our database of historical data for the largest economies and financial markets including economic indicators, stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies and credit default swaps. Click the CSV button below to download the last 5 years of historical data.

To get full historical data : create a free account Use your username and password in the code below. Insert your username, password 2. Run Script import http. HTTPConnection "api. Create your free account. Show More. Spain Year Bond Yield. FX10Y 0.

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